Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Gabriel Diallo vs Matteo Gigante Prediction

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #35
61%
VS

Matteo Gigante

Rank: #127
39%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

Player Metrics

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 46.1
ELO Rating: 1320.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 86.2

Matteo Gigante

Form Index: 59.8
ELO Rating: 659.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 156.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 93.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Gabriel Diallo

  • Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) hard Washington 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 88 min

Matteo Gigante

  • Last Match: vs Borna Coric (2-1) hard Toronto 156 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Chris Rodesch (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gabriel Diallo
vs
0
Matteo Gigante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Gabriel Diallo faces Matteo Gigante on hard courts. Gabriel Diallo is predicted to win with a probability of 61.25%, while Matteo Gigante has a 38.75% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this matchup is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo, currently ranked 35, showcases a solid form index of 46.09 and an Elo rating of 1320.09. He shows no signs of fatigue, having accumulated 0.0 minutes on court in the current tournament. His surface strength index stands at 8.61, highlighting his capability on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.57 and a mean return index of 86.17. In contrast, Matteo Gigante, ranked 127, presents a better form index of 59.82 but carries significant fatigue with 156.0 minutes played in the tournament. His Elo rating is considerably lower at 659.03, and his surface strength index is also weaker at 4.71. Diallo's mean serve index exceeds Gigante's by 4.53 points, while their mean return indices are closely matched, with Diallo having a slight edge. In their recent performances, Diallo has experienced mixed results, losing his last match against Ben Shelton but winning the previous encounter against Fabian Marozsan. Gigante, on the other hand, comes off a victory over Borna Coric but faced defeats at Wimbledon and Roland Garros prior to this tournament. The varying levels of recent success, coupled with Diallo’s higher ranking and lower fatigue levels, give him a distinct advantage heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo's combination of ranking, lack of fatigue, and superior serve and return indices provide him with a competitive edge over Matteo Gigante. One key factor to watch will be Diallo's serving performance, as his high serve index could prove pivotal in securing points and maintaining pressure on Gigante throughout the match.