Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Emilio Nava vs Holger Rune Prediction

Emilio Nava

Rank: #137
15%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #10
85%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Ranking Trends

Emilio Nava

  • Current Rank: #137 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #238 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #214 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #172 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #126 (2024-05-27)

Holger Rune

  • Current Rank: #10 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #13 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #15 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #13 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 33.4
ELO Rating: 310.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.2
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 86.8

Holger Rune

Form Index: 62.0
ELO Rating: 2513.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1851.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 20.7
Grass: 24.0
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Emilio Nava
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Marko Topo (1-2) clay Hamburg 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Pablo Varillas (0-2) clay Santiago 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Barrios Vera (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Rigele Te (0-2) hard Hangzhou 82 min

Holger Rune
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) clay Rome 224 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) clay Rome 177 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-1) clay Madrid 43 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Carlos Alcaraz (2-0) clay Barcelona 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Emilio Nava
vs
0
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the 2025 Roland Garros tournament progresses into the Round of 64, Emilio Nava faces off against Holger Rune on the challenging clay surface in France. The match is set to be a test of skill and endurance, with Rune heavily favored to win at an 85% probability, while Nava's chances are estimated at just 15%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 36.

Match Analysis

Emilio Nava, currently ranked 137, has a form index of 33.42 and an Elo rating of 310.93, indicating he is in a lower competitive tier compared to Rune. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 174 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index of 2.58 suggests that he struggles on clay, while his mean serve index of 97.67 and mean return index of 86.77 show he possesses decent serving and returning capabilities. However, he lacks the higher-level consistency needed at this stage. In contrast, Holger Rune is ranked 10 and boasts a form index of 61.97 with an impressive Elo rating of 2513.23. He also has the same cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes, but his surface strength index of 20.69 demonstrates a much stronger adaptability to clay conditions. While his mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.79, his mean return index of 85.09 is competitive. Both players have had mixed results recently, with Rune winning his last match against Roberto Bautista Agut but losing to Corentin Moutet in the previous tournament. Meanwhile, Nava's recent form includes a win against Botic van de Zandschulp but losses against Marko Topo and Juan Pablo Varillas.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's considerable experience and higher ranking provide him with a distinct advantage over Emilio Nava in this matchup. His superior adaptability to the clay surface and overall stronger competitive performance suggest he is well-equipped to advance further in the tournament. A key factor to watch will be Rune's ability to maintain his momentum from the previous match, as he seeks to capitalize on Nava's vulnerabilities.