Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Marcos Giron vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #45
36%
VS

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #31
64%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Hubert Hurkacz

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 48.7
ELO Rating: 1402.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 221.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 9.0
Grass: 11.0
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.1

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 42.5
ELO Rating: 2327.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1813.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 83.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 22.7
Grass: 23.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 84.4

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) clay Rome 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) clay Rome 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (1-2) clay Madrid 154 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-1) clay Madrid 127 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (1-2) clay Munich 174 min

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) clay Rome 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) clay Madrid 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Indian Wells 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Indian Wells 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Zhizhen Zhang (1-2) hard Marseille 128 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
2
Hubert Hurkacz
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Marcos Giron and Hubert Hurkacz in the Round of 32 at the Rome Masters 1000 promises to be a competitive encounter on clay. With Hurkacz favored to win, he holds a probability of 63.69% compared to Giron's 36.31%. The predicted total number of games played is 25.0.

Match Analysis

Marcos Giron, currently ranked 45th with a form index of 48.66 and an Elo rating of 1402.10, has shown resilience on the clay surface, yet his fatigue level stands at 221 minutes. His surface strength index is relatively low at 8.99, while his mean serve index of 97.22 and mean return index of 86.06 suggest he can hold his own in rallies. On the other hand, Hubert Hurkacz sits at 31st in the rankings, with a stronger Elo rating of 2327.73 and a form index of 42.54. Hurkacz has a cumulative fatigue of only 83 minutes, highlighting his fresher status. His surface strength index is significantly higher at 22.68, giving him an advantage on clay. Notably, their mean serve indices are nearly equal, but Hurkacz's mean return index of 84.44 is slightly lower than Giron's, suggesting a tighter contest in that respect. In their recent performances, Giron has shown a mixed bag, winning his last two matches in Rome against Taylor Fritz and Gabriel Diallo, both on clay, but lost to Matteo Berrettini in Madrid. Conversely, Hurkacz's last match was a solid win against Pedro Martinez, but he has struggled in his previous two matches, losing to Benjamin Bonzi and Alex de Minaur. These results indicate that while Giron comes in with a bit of momentum, Hurkacz’s overall experience and higher ranking provide him with a robust advantage.

Final Prediction

Hurkacz's superior ranking, experience, and lower fatigue levels suggest he has the edge going into this match. A key factor to watch will be how Giron's serve holds up against Hurkacz's powerful baseline game, which could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.