Damir Dzumhur vs Jaime Faria: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Dzumhur enters with the higher ranking (No. 62) and superior Elo (≈798) compared with Faria (rank 148, Elo ≈581), but form and on-court metrics tell a mixed story. Dzumhur’s form index is 39.8 versus Faria’s 65.7, and Dzumhur’s surface strength is modest (6.81) while Faria’s is slightly lower (5.19). Fatigue is a notable contrast: Dzumhur has logged 159 minutes in this event, whereas Faria carries 364 cumulative minutes. The mean serve indices differ substantially (Dzumhur 69.9, Faria 95.8), a gap of ~26 points, and mean return indices also show a meaningful edge for Faria (Dzumhur 80.5, Faria 90.0), a ~9.6-point gap—both differences likely to shape service games and return pressure. Looking at recent matches, Dzumhur has one win and two defeats across his last three outings, including a straight-set loss at the Australian Open and a split result in Rio (a 1–1 set match against Pedro Martínez). Faria has two victories and one loss in his last three Rio matches, including wins over Sebastián Báez and Nicolás Jarry and a loss to Igor Marcondes; those results produced long matches (95–172 minutes), contributing to his higher fatigue total. These form lines suggest Faria arrives with momentum on clay, while Dzumhur has shown vulnerability in recent matches.