Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Jenson Brooksby vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #55
61%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #44
39%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jenson Brooksby

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Ranking Trends

Jenson Brooksby

  • Current #55 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #102 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #163 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #1000 None
  • 12 mo ago #1000 None

Alexandre Muller

  • Current #44 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #39 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #39 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #58 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #68 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 1179.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 88.7

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 25.0
ELO Rating: 1211.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs James Trotter (2-0) hard Shanghai 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Tokio 98 min

Alexandre Muller
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Alexandre Muller
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Basel tournament, Jenson Brooksby is set to face Alexandre Muller on a hard surface. Brooksby is predicted to win with a probability of 61.26%, while Muller has a 38.74% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Jenson Brooksby, currently ranked 55, has a form index of 49.67 and an Elo rating of 1179.76. His fatigue level is zero, indicating that he comes into the match fresh. Brooksby’s surface strength index is 6.10, which suggests he has a decent capability on hard courts. His mean serve index stands at 95.89, while his mean return index is 88.65. In comparison, Alexandre Muller is ranked slightly higher at 44, with a lower form index of 25.04 and a higher Elo rating of 1211.18. Muller's surface strength index of 8.31 demonstrates his better historical performance on hard courts, but his mean serve index of 95.19 and mean return index of 88.60 show only a slight discrepancy compared to Brooksby. Both players have had challenging recent performances. Brooksby has won one of his last three matches, notably defeating James Trotter but losing to both Taylor Fritz and Tallon Griekspoor. On the other hand, Muller has not secured a win in his last three outings, losing to Miomir Kecmanovic, David Goffin, and Fabian Marozsan. This trend reflects a concerning lack of form for Muller, which could play a pivotal role in their upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Jenson Brooksby holds the advantage due to a more favorable form index and recent performance, along with a slight edge in serving capabilities. A key factor to observe will be how both players handle the pressure of points, particularly in crucial moments, which could sway the match in favor of Brooksby.

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