Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Jenson Brooksby vs James Trotter Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #86
71%
VS

James Trotter

Rank: #212
29%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jenson Brooksby

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 59.2
ELO Rating: 1200.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.6

James Trotter

Form Index: 39.6
ELO Rating: 309.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1501.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 300.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 83.9

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Tokio 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Tokio 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

James Trotter

  • Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) hard Shanghai 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tristan Boyer (2-1) hard Shanghai 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (1-2) hard Cincinnati 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Boyer (0-2) hard Toronto 106 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
James Trotter
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jenson Brooksby and James Trotter at the Shanghai Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing encounter on hard courts. Brooksby is predicted to win with a probability of 71.19%, while Trotter's chances stand at 28.81%. The expected total number of games played in this match is projected to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Jenson Brooksby, currently ranked 86, showcases a solid form index of 59.22 and an Elo rating of 1200.15, indicating a stronger competitive edge. He has no cumulative fatigue from this tournament, which may contribute positively to his performance. His surface strength index of 6.06 indicates a proficiency on hard courts, and he has a notable mean serve index of 95.79, coupled with a strong mean return index of 88.64. This reflects his capability to both serve effectively and return with precision. In contrast, James Trotter, ranked 212, has a lower form index of 39.61 and a significantly lower Elo rating at 309.14. Trotter is dealing with considerable fatigue, having accumulated 300 minutes on court in this tournament, which could hinder his performance. His surface strength index of 3.69 is also lower than Brooksby’s, and while his mean serve index of 93.79 is competitive, his mean return index of 83.86 places him at a disadvantage, particularly since Brooksby’s return index exceeds Trotter’s by over 5 points.

Final Prediction

Jenson Brooksby is favored due to his superior rankings, form, and fatigue levels, combined with a more effective service and return game. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Brooksby's ability to leverage his strong return game, which could put significant pressure on Trotter's serve.