Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Khachanov enters this match as the higher-ranked player (No. 18) with a substantially higher Elo (2089.52) and a stronger form index (45.51) compared with de Jong (rank 88, Elo 737.92, form 9.33). Both show zero tournament fatigue. Their surface strength indices are low by the model’s scale (Khachanov 11.23, de Jong 7.83), suggesting neither is exceptionally specialized on hard courts this season. The mean serve indices differ markedly: de Jong (97.34) is well above Khachanov (71.15), a gap greater than 5 points; de Jong also posts a much higher mean return index (90.02) versus Khachanov (58.25), another sizeable gap that frames this matchup as an unusual clash between a big server/returner and a more all-around player. Recent form underlines the disparity: Khachanov won two consecutive hard-court matches (3-0, 3-2) before falling in four sets at the Australian Open (matches listed with durations of 174 minutes). De Jong has lost his last three recorded matches on hard courts—straight sets to Medvedev (174 minutes), a three-set loss to Tirante (124 minutes), and a two-set defeat to Diallo (105 minutes). Those results point to Khachanov carrying more positive momentum into Rotterdam despite his mixed recent form.