Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Blockx comes mainly from surface fit and overall strength. Blockx carries a higher Elo (1800.5 vs 1653.2) and a much stronger ranking (38 vs 134), and his surface strength index (32.36) is notably above Jacquet’s (18.94), a combination that pushed the prediction toward Blockx. Recent form by level also nudges the forecast toward Blockx: while both have highs and lows, Blockx’s deeper results at higher-tier events are reflected in the model’s weighting. Fatigue and workload are also material—Jacquet has accumulated 269 minutes on court at this event while Blockx shows zero minutes in this tournament, which benefits Blockx according to the model. On serve and return, the two players are close on serve (mean serve indices 96.12 for Blockx, 94.81 for Jacquet), so neither should dominate outright with aces; however the mean return index favors Jacquet by over 7 points (94.13 vs 86.75), so his ability to neutralize Blockx’s service games is a factor to watch. Recent match patterns: Jacquet is 2-1 in his last three at Estoril (wins over Gonçalo da Rosa Castro and Daniel Merida, and a three-set loss to Taro Daniel), while Blockx is 1-2 in his last three (a straight-sets win over Coleman Wong and two tough losses to Titouan Droguet and Alexander Zverev, including marathon matches on other surfaces).