Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Learner Tien vs Leandro Riedi Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #61
60%
VS

Leandro Riedi

Rank: #487
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Ranking Trends

Learner Tien

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #81 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #121 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #232 (2024-08-12)

Leandro Riedi

  • Current Rank: #487 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #373 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #236 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #130 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #117 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 54.1
ELO Rating: 1107.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1599.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.5

Leandro Riedi

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 446.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 197.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.4
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Learner Tien
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) hard Toronto 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Toronto 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Washington 70 min

Leandro Riedi
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lloyd Harris (2-0) hard Cincinnati 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pablo Carreno Busta (2-0) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Oliver Tarvet (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Hamish Stewart (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jerome Kym (0-2) hard Us Open 48 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Leandro Riedi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, Learner Tien is set to face Leandro Riedi on hard courts in Ohio. The match promises to be an intriguing battle, with a predicted winner in Learner Tien, who holds a 60.45% probability of victory compared to Riedi's 39.55%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien currently holds a rank of 61, with a form index of 54.12 and an Elo rating of 1107.08. His fatigue level stands at 0 minutes, indicating that he is well-rested heading into this match. Tien's surface strength index of 9.73 suggests a solid performance capability on hard courts, complemented by an impressive mean serve index of 96.09 and a mean return index of 88.54. This gives him a notable advantage, especially as the difference in mean serve index exceeds 5 points when compared to Riedi. On the other hand, Leandro Riedi, ranked 487, shows a form index of 57.73 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 446.91, which reflects a stark contrast in current competitive standing. Riedi's fatigue level is at 197 minutes, suggesting he has been taxed in recent matches. His surface strength index is 4.37, and while his mean serve index of 95.67 is competitive, his mean return index of 86.80 falls short when compared to Tien's. In recent performances, Riedi has won both of his last two matches in Cincinnati, showcasing resilience, but he also faced a tough loss against Oliver Tarvet at Wimbledon.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's edge primarily stems from his higher rank, superior surface strength, and better mean serve and return indices. Additionally, his lack of fatigue gives him a physical advantage over Riedi, who might struggle under the accumulated fatigue. A critical factor to watch will be Tien's serve effectiveness, as it could dictate the flow of the match and establish his control on the hard surface.