Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Jaime Faria

Rank: #116
35%
VS

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #47
65%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Ranking Trends

Jaime Faria

  • Current Rank: #116 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #95 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #123 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #168 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #173 (2024-07-01)

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current Rank: #47 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #38 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #53 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #54 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Jaime Faria

Form Index: 74.5
ELO Rating: 627.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1553.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.0
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.4

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 35.3
ELO Rating: 1011.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Jaime Faria
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Kyrian Jacquet (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Zsombor Piros (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Taberner (0-1) clay Rome 29 min

Lorenzo Sonego
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass Eastbourne 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) grass Eastbourne 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) grass Halle 143 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) grass Halle 60 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (1-2) grass Stuttgart 160 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jaime Faria
vs
0
Lorenzo Sonego
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The highly anticipated match between Jaime Faria and Lorenzo Sonego is set to take place at Wimbledon, one of the most prestigious tournaments in the world, held on grass courts in Great Britain. As they compete in the round of 128, Sonego is favored to win with a probability of 65.04%, while Faria has a probability of 34.96%. The predicted total number of games played in this contest is 37.0.

Match Analysis

Jaime Faria, currently ranked 116, has shown commendable form with a form index of 74.51, which reflects his competitive spirit after winning three consecutive matches in the tournament. His Elo rating stands at 627.80, and he has demonstrated solid potential on grass with a surface strength index of 4.22. However, Faria's cumulative fatigue is notable at 522 minutes, which could impact his performance against a more rested opponent. His mean serve index of 95.59 and mean return index of 85.43 are respectable but not overwhelmingly dominant. In contrast, Lorenzo Sonego, ranked 47, has an Elo rating of 1011.31 and a lower form index of 35.26, indicative of recent struggles, highlighted by his loss to Ugo Humbert in his last match. However, Sonego has displayed a stronger surface strength index of 9.28 and a superior mean serve index of 96.35, giving him an edge in serve effectiveness. Although his mean return index of 84.86 is slightly lower than Faria's, the difference is negligible, and he comes into this match with zero minutes of fatigue, having spent significantly less time on the court recently.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego is positioned as the predicted winner due to his higher ranking, stronger serve, and lack of fatigue, allowing for a more vigorous performance. A key factor to observe during the match will be how Faria manages his fatigue and whether he can capitalize on his recent winning momentum.