S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Mackenzie McDonald vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #99
40%
VS

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #72
60%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #99 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #109 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #131 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #149 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #74 (2024-06-10)

Mattia Bellucci

  • Current Rank: #72 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #103 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #102 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #160 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 37.0
ELO Rating: 436.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 159.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.4

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 12.4
ELO Rating: 708.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Thijs Boogaard (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ryan Peniston (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jerome Kym (2-0) clay Madrid 61 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Diego Dedura (0-2) clay Munich 65 min

Mattia Bellucci
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Pedro Martinez (0-2) clay Rome 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) clay Madrid 154 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Borna Coric (0-2) clay Barcelona 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 70 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
1
Mattia Bellucci
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mackenzie McDonald and Mattia Bellucci is set in the Round of 32 at the s_hertogenbosch tournament, taking place on grass in the Netherlands. The predicted winner is Mattia Bellucci, with a probability of winning at 60.08%, while Mackenzie McDonald's chances stand at 39.92%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald is currently ranked 99 with a form index of 37.01 and an Elo rating of 436.17. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 159 minutes, indicating he has already spent a considerable amount of time on court. His surface strength index on grass is 4.29, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.06 and a mean return index of 86.43. In contrast, Mattia Bellucci is ranked 72, with a form index of 12.35 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 708.45. Notably, Bellucci has zero cumulative fatigue, giving him a fresh advantage going into this match. His surface strength index is also higher at 6.05, along with a mean serve index of 96.17 and a mean return index of 86.04. In their recent performances, McDonald has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in the tournament against Thijs Boogaard and Ryan Peniston, both without losing a set. However, prior to that, he faced a tough loss to Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros. Bellucci, on the other hand, has struggled in his last three matches, all of which were on clay, losing to Jack Draper, Pedro Martinez, and Damir Dzumhur, indicating a tough stretch of form.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci has the advantage of being fresher and having a higher surface strength index, which could be crucial on grass. The key factor to watch will be how McDonald manages his fatigue against Bellucci's resilience and serve effectiveness, as any lapses in his performance could significantly impact the match outcome.