Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Mackenzie McDonald vs Quentin Halys Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #96
45%
VS

Quentin Halys

Rank: #75
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Quentin Halys

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #96 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #88 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #100 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #131 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #151 (2024-09-30)

Quentin Halys

  • Current Rank: #75 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #56 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #72 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #100 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 43.0
ELO Rating: 518.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 145.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 86.4

Quentin Halys

Form Index: 27.9
ELO Rating: 790.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.2
Clay: 8.3
Grass: 7.1
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Rei Sakamoto (0-2) hard Shanghai 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Omar Jasika (1-0) hard Shanghai 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (0-2) hard Chengdu 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-1) hard Chengdu 120 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-1) hard Chengdu 112 min

Quentin Halys
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Cazaux (1-1) hard Beijing 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aoran Wang (1-0) hard Beijing 54 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (1-2) hard Chengdu 131 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (1-2) hard Toronto 137 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Washington 116 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Quentin Halys
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mackenzie McDonald and Quentin Halys at the Shanghai Masters 1000 is set to be a compelling encounter on hard courts. Taking place in the round of 128, the predicted winner is Quentin Halys, with a win probability of 55.23% compared to McDonald's 44.77%. The total number of games is anticipated to be around 23.0.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald, currently ranked 96, has a form index of 42.96 and an Elo rating of 518.68. His cumulative fatigue of 145 minutes from the current tournament could impact his performance. While his surface strength index stands at 5.83, his mean serve index of 96.65 and mean return index of 86.42 suggest a solid serve but weaker return capabilities. In his last three matches, McDonald has had mixed results, securing one victory against Omar Jasika but losing to both Rei Sakamoto and Nikoloz Basilashvili. Quentin Halys ranks slightly higher at 75, with a form index of 27.90 and a significantly better Elo rating of 790.45. Notably, Halys has no cumulative fatigue from this tournament so far, which could give him an advantage in stamina. His surface strength index of 7.24 indicates a better adjustment to hard surfaces compared to McDonald. Halys's mean serve index of 96.71 is comparable to McDonald's, but his mean return index of 85.15 is slightly lower, implying a more balanced game overall. His recent performances have been less consistent, with one win and two losses in his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Quentin Halys holds the edge due to his higher rank, better Elo rating, and lack of fatigue heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Halys's ability to maintain his serve consistency throughout the match, as both players have shown vulnerabilities in their return games.