Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Raphael Collignon vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #85
41%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #83
59%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Marin Cilic

Ranking Trends

Raphael Collignon

  • Current Rank: #85 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #92 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #121 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #164 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #358 (2024-07-01)

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #83 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #118 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #179 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #211 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1078 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 43.0
ELO Rating: 467.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1510.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 93.2

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 57.5
ELO Rating: 526.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1510.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 3.0
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Raphael Collignon
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-1) clay Hamburg 60 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Dutra da Silva (2-0) clay Hamburg 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Patrick Zahraj (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran (0-2) clay Rome 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Marrakech 119 min

Marin Cilic
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lloyd Harris (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Pol Martin Tiffon (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yibing Wu (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) clay Madrid 93 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Raphael Collignon
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round matchup at Wimbledon features Raphael Collignon against Marin Cilic in Great Britain on the grass surface. With the tournament's high stakes, Marin Cilic is predicted to win with a probability of 59.12%, while Collignon has a 40.88% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 37.

Match Analysis

Raphael Collignon, currently ranked 85th, has a form index of 43.03 and an Elo rating of 467.17. His surface strength index stands at 4.27, which indicates limited effectiveness on grass courts. In contrast, Marin Cilic, ranked 83rd, possesses a higher Elo rating of 526.23 and a form index of 57.45, suggesting better recent performances. Cilic's surface strength index is slightly lower at 2.96, but he brings significant experience to the grass courts. Notably, Collignon's mean serve index of 96.57 exceeds Cilic's 95.61 by just under a point, while Cilic's return index of 87.57 shows a considerable gap compared to Collignon’s 93.20, indicating a potential advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, Collignon has displayed mixed results, winning two out of his last three matches, yet he struggled in his last match against Brandon Nakashima on clay, losing without winning a set. Conversely, Cilic's recent form has been less favorable, also losing his last match at Roland Garros; however, he has shown resilience in previous rounds and has a wealth of experience in Grand Slam settings.

Final Prediction

Marin Cilic's higher Elo rating and experience give him a distinct advantage going into this match, even if both players are currently in suboptimal form. A key factor to monitor will be Cilic's ability to capitalize on his opponent's return game, as this could dictate the flow of the match and potentially secure his advancement in the tournament.