Doha Qatar Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Marton Fucsovics vs Hady Habib: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #49
78%
VS

Hady Habib

Rank: #336
22%
Expected Total Games: 22.7
Predicted Winner: Marton Fucsovics

Ranking Trends

Marton Fucsovics

  • Current Rank: #49 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #55 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #94 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #134 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #84 (2025-02-17)

Hady Habib

  • Current Rank: #336 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #178 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #165 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #159 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #166 (2025-02-17)

Player Metrics

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 30.3
ELO Rating: 892.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 8.0
Serve Rating: 64.6
Return Rating: 65.3

Hady Habib

Form Index: 0.0
ELO Rating: 209.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1523.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 2.3
Grass: 1.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Marton Fucsovics
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Guy Den Ouden (0-2) hard Rotterdam 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Shevchenko (0-2) hard Adelaide 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Adelaide 95 min

Hady Habib
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Zachary Svajda (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Giulio Zeppieri (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Los Cabos 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Cristian Garin (0-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marton Fucsovics
vs
0
Hady Habib
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Doha, Qatar — Round of 32 on hard courts at a 500-level event. Marton Fucsovics is the clear favorite in this matchup, with a predicted win probability of 77.79% versus Hady Habib’s 22.21%. The model forecasts a relatively short match, about 22.67 total games.

Match Analysis

Fucsovics arrives ranked 49 with an Elo of 892.64 and a form index of 30.28; his tournament fatigue is zero and his surface strength index on hard courts is 5.92. Habib is ranked 336 with an Elo of 209.48 and a form index of 0.0, also without accumulated fatigue and a lower surface strength index of 2.99. There are notable gaps in the serve and return profiles: Habib’s mean serve index (94.82) exceeds Fucsovics’ (64.61) by over 30 points, and Habib’s mean return index (87.07) is about 21.8 points higher than Fucsovics’ (65.31). Those differences are large and will shape many important points. Recent match trends reinforce the projection. Over the last three matches Fucsovics has one win and two defeats: a straight-sets victory in one event and two longer losses, including a straight-sets loss and a three-set defeat. Habib’s last three results show no wins in the provided sample, with two 1–2 defeats and one 0–2 loss. The contrast in ranking and Elo, coupled with Fucsovics’ modestly better surface index and recent deeper-level performances, favours him in Doha despite Habib’s eye-catching serve and return numbers.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 22.7 Most likely outcome: 22 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this match is 16.86 total, and the expected double faults are 5.74. On a medium-paced hard court, aces are typically moderate — higher than clay but lower than grass — so the predicted aces align with surface context. Given Habib’s substantially higher serve rating, the predicted aces count is likely to be driven by his service games, while double faults prediction remains modest.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 16.9 Most likely: 16 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 5.7 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Fucsovics’ higher rank, far superior Elo and steadier recent results give him the edge in this matchup. The key factor to watch is whether Habib’s very high serve metric converts into free points and aces, or whether Fucsovics’ overall experience and match play will neutralize the big-serve threat.

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