Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Matteo Arnaldi vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi

Rank: #43
61%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #92
39%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Arnaldi

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Ranking Trends

Matteo Arnaldi

  • Current #43 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #39 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #37 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #36 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #35 2024-07-01

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current #92 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #88 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #80 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #67 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #97 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Matteo Arnaldi

Form Index: 37.4
ELO Rating: 1330.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 12.5
Grass: 11.5
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 88.2

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 19.0
ELO Rating: 601.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 5.0
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Matteo Arnaldi
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Botic van de Zandschulp
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Matteo Arnaldi
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round clash at Wimbledon features Matteo Arnaldi facing off against Botic van de Zandschulp. Set on the grass courts of Great Britain, this match is a crucial encounter in the Grand Slam tournament. The predicted winner is Matteo Arnaldi, with a probability of 60.90% to Botic van de Zandschulp's 39.10%. A total of approximately 37 games is expected to be played.

Match Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi currently holds a rank of 43 with a form index of 37.37, indicating a moderate recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 1330.81, reflecting a solid competitive standing. Arnaldi shows no fatigue, which is beneficial as he competes on grass, where he has a surface strength index of 11.51. His mean serve index of 96.98 is significantly higher than van de Zandschulp's, who has a mean serve index of 94.99, creating a notable advantage in serving. Both players’ return indices are quite close, with Arnaldi at 88.17 and van de Zandschulp at 88.39, showing that the match could hinge on serving tactics. In their recent performances, Arnaldi has struggled, losing his last match against Jan-Lennard Struff and having mixed results at Roland Garros. Van de Zandschulp, on the other hand, has also faced difficulties, losing his last match at Mallorca, but his form index of 19.05 suggests a more concerning trend in his game. Both players enter this match with fresh starts; however, the pressure of recent results may weigh heavily on van de Zandschulp.

Final Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi holds a slight edge primarily due to his superior serving capabilities and better ranking. Additionally, his lack of fatigue could be a crucial factor that influences his performance throughout the match. Observing how both players adapt to the grass surface will be key, particularly in their serving and return games.

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