Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Borna Coric vs Matteo Gigante Prediction

Borna Coric

Rank: #90
40%
VS

Matteo Gigante

Rank: #127
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Gigante

Player Metrics

Borna Coric

Form Index: 27.1
ELO Rating: 563.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 5.3
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.4

Matteo Gigante

Form Index: 58.6
ELO Rating: 646.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 93.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Borna Coric

  • Last Match: vs Titouan Droguet (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-2) clay Madrid 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) clay Madrid 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Otto Virtanen (2-1) clay Madrid 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (1-2) clay Barcelona 144 min

Matteo Gigante

  • Last Match: vs Chris Rodesch (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Borna Coric
vs
0
Matteo Gigante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Borna Coric and Matteo Gigante is set to take place at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Canada, on a hard court surface. With both players looking to advance from the Round of 128, the prediction favors Matteo Gigante, who holds a 59.89% probability of winning compared to Coric's 40.11%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Borna Coric, currently ranked 90, has a form index of 27.06 and an Elo rating of 563.58, indicating he is struggling to find consistent form. His surface strength index of 6.55 suggests he has some capability on hard courts, but it is relatively low. Coric's mean serve index is impressive at 97.03, yet his mean return index of 86.36 shows he may be vulnerable against players who can serve well. In contrast, Matteo Gigante, ranked 127, presents a stronger form index of 58.60 and a higher Elo rating of 646.79, indicating he is performing better than Coric at this stage. Gigante’s serve index is 93.01, and his return index of 87.08 suggests he can compete effectively in rallies. In their recent performances, Coric has suffered two losses, both in three-set matches at Roland Garros, while he only managed to secure one victory against Gabriel Diallo in his last three outings. Conversely, Gigante's recent matches include a notable victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas, showcasing his potential, despite suffering losses in his last two matches as well. Both players have demonstrated resilience in their matches, but Gigante's recent win against a higher-ranked opponent gives him a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Matteo Gigante is predicted to have the upper hand due to his superior form and higher Elo rating, which reflect a more consistent performance level. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Gigante's ability to handle Coric's serve, as this could determine the flow and outcome of their exchanges.