Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Tommy Paul arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 22) with a substantially stronger Elo (1982.7) and a strong form index (65.8). He has accumulated 142 minutes on court in this tournament, which is noticeable fatigue but comes off a straight-sets win over Jenson Brooksby after a long match versus Alcaraz at the Australian Open. His surface strength (13.88) and balanced serve/return indices (serve 58.41, return 53.12) point to an all-court baseline game that performs well on medium-paced hard courts. Miomir Kecmanovic is ranked 69th with a much lower Elo (918.0) and a weak form index (26.16). He has 124 minutes in this event and a modest surface strength (8.28). The striking statistical gaps are in serving and returning: Kecmanovic’s mean serve index (97.65) and mean return index (91.68) exceed Paul’s by more than 5 points—by large margins—indicating Kecmanovic can produce many free points and is effective on both wings when on song. Over the last three matches Paul has two wins and a heavy loss to Alcaraz; Kecmanovic has one win in Dallas and two recent losses, showing less consistent results overall.