Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Nicolas Jarry vs Learner Tien Prediction

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #143
32%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #62
68%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

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Ranking Trends

Nicolas Jarry

  • Current #143 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #58 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #35 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #29 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #20 2024-07-01

Learner Tien

  • Current #62 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #69 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #122 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #148 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #342 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 83.7
ELO Rating: 1214.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 11.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.0

Learner Tien

Form Index: 59.3
ELO Rating: 1005.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Nicolas Jarry
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lukas Klein (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jozef Kovalik (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pavel Kotov (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) grass Halle 72 min

Learner Tien
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) grass Mallorca 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass Mallorca 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Mallorca 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (0-2) grass Halle 61 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Nicolas Jarry
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Nicolas Jarry and Learner Tien at Wimbledon marks a key encounter in the Round of 64 of this prestigious Grand Slam event. Played on grass, the match is expected to be competitive, with Learner Tien predicted to emerge as the winner with a probability of 67.77%, while Nicolas Jarry holds a 32.23% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Nicolas Jarry currently holds a rank of 143, with a form index of 83.66 and an Elo rating of 1214.69. His cumulative fatigue stands at 696 minutes, which could impact his performance. Jarry's surface strength index of 11.04 suggests limited effectiveness on grass surfaces, although his mean serve index of 97.34 is impressive. In contrast, Learner Tien is ranked 62, with a lower form index of 59.27 and an Elo rating of 1005.45. Tien's cumulative fatigue is significantly less at 174 minutes, which may give him an advantage in stamina. His mean return index of 89.16, compared to Jarry's 84.01, indicates a stronger capability to capitalize on Jarry's serves. In their recent performances, Jarry has shown resilience by winning all three of his last matches at Wimbledon, notably defeating Holger Rune in a tightly contested five-set match. Tien, however, also secured a solid victory against Nishesh Basavareddy, although he suffered a defeat to Corentin Moutet in his previous outing in Mallorca. This inconsistency may hinder his momentum, despite a relatively recent win.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's advantages in fatigue, return capabilities, and recent form suggest he will likely capitalize on his opponent's weaknesses. The key factor to watch will be how Jarry manages his fatigue levels throughout the match, as it could be pivotal in determining the overall outcome.

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