Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 16

Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #11
42%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
58%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 77.6
ELO Rating: 2798.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1785.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.1
Clay: 27.0
Grass: 28.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 95.3
ELO Rating: 3510.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2558.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Alex de Minaur

  • Last Match: vs August Holmgren (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) grass London 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex de Minaur
vs
1
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at Wimbledon sees Alex de Minaur facing off against Novak Djokovic on the grass courts of Great Britain. With Djokovic holding a 57.84% probability of victory compared to de Minaur's 42.16%, the predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur, currently ranked 11th, has a solid form index of 77.58 and an Elo rating of 2798.15. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, which may impact his performance as he progresses in the tournament. His surface strength index of 28.34 indicates that while he is competent on grass, he is still developing his skills on this surface. In contrast, Novak Djokovic, ranked 6th, showcases a higher form index of 95.28 and an impressive Elo rating of 3510.29, highlighting his experience and prowess. Both players have the same cumulative fatigue, but Djokovic's surface strength index of 33.47 provides him with a slight edge. The differences in their mean serve index (Djokovic at 95.31 vs. de Minaur at 95.84) are negligible and do not indicate a significant advantage. However, de Minaur's mean return index of 88.32 slightly outperforms Djokovic's 87.29, which could play a role in their rally exchanges. Both players have shown strong performances in their last three matches at Wimbledon, with de Minaur winning all three without dropping a set against opponents like August Holmgren and Arthur Cazaux. Djokovic has also been dominant, winning all his encounters convincingly, including matches against Miomir Kecmanovic and Daniel Evans. The consistency in their respective forms makes for an intriguing matchup.

Final Prediction

Novak Djokovic's higher rank, superior form index, and overall experience on grass give him an edge going into this match. Keeping an eye on the effectiveness of his serve and return game will be crucial, as these elements may determine the flow and outcome of the match.