Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Rank: #148
36%
VS

Benjamin Bonzi

Rank: #58
64%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Benjamin Bonzi

Ranking Trends

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

  • Current Rank: #148 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #164 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #149 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #132 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #142 (2024-05-27)

Benjamin Bonzi

  • Current Rank: #58 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #62 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #75 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #129 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #172 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Form Index: 26.5
ELO Rating: 430.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 3.7
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.5

Benjamin Bonzi

Form Index: 38.7
ELO Rating: 766.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Karue Sell (1-2) clay Geneva 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mattia Bellucci (0-2) clay Marrakech 84 min

Benjamin Bonzi
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-1) clay Madrid 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hubert Hurkacz (2-0) clay Madrid 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (2-0) clay Madrid 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Rincon (0-2) clay Barcelona 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 116 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
vs
0
Benjamin Bonzi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the first round of the 2025 Roland Garros, set on the clay courts of France, Pierre-Hugues Herbert will face Benjamin Bonzi. The matchup sees Bonzi favored to win with a probability of 63.63%, while Herbert’s chances rest at 36.37%. The predicted total number of games played is 36.0, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

Benjamin Bonzi, currently ranked 58, exhibits a stronger form index of 38.72 compared to Herbert's 26.48, suggesting he is in better overall form. Bonzi's Elo rating of 766.18 significantly surpasses Herbert's 430.38, further indicating his superior standing in the sport. Both players are fresh, exhibiting zero cumulative fatigue from the tournament. Bonzi also boasts a higher surface strength index of 6.26 against Herbert's 3.32, showcasing his proficiency on clay. Notably, while the mean serve index difference is marginal (Bonzi at 95.53 and Herbert at 96.93), the mean return index favors Bonzi, who holds an index of 85.64 compared to Herbert's 85.51. Looking at recent performances, Herbert has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a recent defeat at the Geneva Open where he won just one set. In contrast, Bonzi has shown resilience, managing two wins in his last three matches, including a victory over Hubert Hurkacz in Madrid. His ability to secure sets against challenging opponents reflects a notable upward trend in his performance.

Final Prediction

Benjamin Bonzi’s higher ranking, better form index, and stronger clay court performance position him as the likely victor in this match. A key factor to monitor will be Bonzi’s return game, as his superior return index may prove critical in breaking Herbert's serve and dictating the flow of the match.