Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Raphael Collignon vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #85
31%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #59
69%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

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Ranking Trends

Raphael Collignon

  • Current #85 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #120 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #164 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #342 2024-07-15

Luciano Darderi

  • Current #59 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #47 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #45 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #44 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #35 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 26.9
ELO Rating: 440.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1505.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 92.6

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 56.9
ELO Rating: 1164.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Raphael Collignon
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marin Cilic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-1) clay Hamburg 60 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Dutra da Silva (2-0) clay Hamburg 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Patrick Zahraj (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran (0-2) clay Rome 90 min

Luciano Darderi
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jordan Thompson (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Fery (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) grass Eastbourne 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 150 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Raphael Collignon
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Bastad tournament held on clay in Sweden, Raphael Collignon faces Luciano Darderi in a highly anticipated matchup. With a probability of winning set at 69.20%, Darderi is favored over Collignon, who has a 30.80% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Raphael Collignon, currently ranked 85, has a form index of 26.91 and an Elo rating of 440.55. His surface strength index of 4.51 indicates moderate proficiency on clay. Collignon also maintains a mean serve index of 96.32, which is slightly higher than Darderi's mean serve index of 95.60, but his return index of 92.62 significantly surpasses Darderi’s 86.47 by more than 5 points. This dynamic suggests that while Collignon may have an edge in returns, it does not compensate for the overall strength Darderi brings to the match. Luciano Darderi, ranked 59, has a stronger form index of 56.91 and an Elo rating of 1164.75, showcasing his recent competitive edge. His performances over the last three matches include a notable win against Arthur Fery, where he won all sets, although he faced challenges in his other two matches. In contrast, Collignon's recent form has been less impressive, with only one win out of his last three matches, indicating potential struggles in maintaining momentum.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi's favorable ranking, stronger form index, and overall match experience provide him with a significant edge in this contest. A key factor to watch will be Collignon's ability to leverage his superior return skills to disrupt Darderi's service games, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.

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