Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Hijikata (rank 115) comes in with a considerably higher form index (46.50) than Bellucci (rank 110, form 9.41), though Bellucci carries a superior Elo (716.96 vs 645.87). Fatigue is a factor: Hijikata has accumulated 197 minutes on court in the current event while Bellucci has no in-tournament minutes, which could influence sharpness late in rallies. Surface strength indices are both low and similar (Hijikata 5.14, Bellucci 6.45), suggesting neither has a major hard-court specialization advantage. Serve and return profiles diverge sharply. Bellucci’s mean serve index (98.17) outstrips Hijikata’s (72.29) by more than 25 points, and his mean return index (89.41) also exceeds Hijikata’s (53.76) by over 35 points — both differences are significant and likely to shape patterns of service holds and short points. Recent form over the last three matches shows Hijikata with one win (straight sets over Alan Magadan) and two losses (to Yibing Wu and Frances Tiafoe), while Bellucci has recorded three straight losses (to Miomir Kecmanovic, Brandon Nakashima and Casper Ruud). That recent record favors Hijikata in momentum despite Bellucci’s stronger single-match metrics.