Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Paul arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 26) with a markedly superior Elo (1832.05) compared with Hijikata (rank 102, Elo 1627.18). Both show similar form indices (Hijikata 45.08, Paul 44.42) and neither carries tournament fatigue into this match (0 minutes on court). Surface strength is a clear differentiator: Paul’s surface strength index (39.59) far outstrips Hijikata’s (6.70), suggesting Paul’s game is better adapted to clay in the metrics provided. Serving profiles are broadly comparable (mean serve index: Hijikata 95.82, Paul 94.20), so neither holds a striking edge in raw serve metrics; however Hijikata’s mean return index (93.45) is noticeably higher than Paul’s (86.62), a gap greater than five points that may reward aggressive returning tactics. Recent form tells a consistent story: Paul is 3-0 across his last three clay matches in Hamburg, including a long win over Etcheverry and a straight-sets victory over Altmaier, while Hijikata won two prior Hamburg matches before falling to Altmaier in his most recent outing.