Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenier: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Safiullin comes mainly from recent form, which adds 9.9 percentage points to his probability, and from overall strength, which contributes another 4.6 points. Those drivers align with the raw data. Safiullin sits at world No. 103 with a form index of 40.14 and an Elo of 1804.11. He arrives with zero minutes of fatigue in this event and a surface strength index of 16.10. Grenier is ranked 258, with a form index of 26.90 and an Elo of 1489.07, and he carries 178 minutes of court time into this match. Their surface strength indices are similar, 16.10 versus 15.60, so neither has a clear surface advantage. Secondary model factors also favor Safiullin. Overall record and opposition quality add 2.8 percentage points to his edge, while recent record by level adds 2.0 points. The only modeled advantage for Grenier is a small 1.7 percentage point boost for serve and return game. Serve and return indices are close. Safiullin’s mean serve index is 95.94 and his mean return index is 88.06. Grenier’s serve index is 94.64 and return index is 87.06. Recent form on match results shows Safiullin with two wins and a loss in his last three matches at Wimbledon, including wins over Joao Fonseca and Botic van de Zandschulp and a loss to Novak Djokovic. Grenier has one win and two losses in his last three, with a recent win over Neil Oberleitner and defeats by Mees Rottgering and Jaime Faria.