Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Finals

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #89
49%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #35
51%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 1220.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 515.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.2
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 71.2
ELO Rating: 1576.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1704.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 268.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.0
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) grass Mallorca 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) grass Mallorca 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) grass Mallorca 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) grass Mallorca 157 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (1-2) grass London 128 min

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) grass Mallorca 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the finals of the Mallorca tournament in Spain, Corentin Moutet is set to face Tallon Griekspoor on grass. With a closely matched probability of victory, Griekspoor is predicted to win with a 51.19% chance, while Moutet has a 48.81% probability. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 24.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet holds a rank of 89, with a form index of 63.52 and an Elo rating of approximately 1220. He exhibits a cumulative fatigue of 515 minutes from the tournament, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 8.21, reflecting a moderate proficiency on grass. His mean serve index is 96.56, while his mean return index is 88.55, indicating a solid serving capability but a slightly weaker return game. On the other hand, Tallon Griekspoor is positioned at rank 35, showcasing a stronger form index of 71.21 and an Elo rating of 1576. His cumulative fatigue is lower at 268 minutes, potentially giving him an advantage in stamina. Griekspoor's surface strength index of 11.13 highlights his effectiveness on grass, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.62, slightly better than Moutet's. However, his mean return index of 85.07 is notably lower than Moutet's, indicating a potential vulnerability when receiving serve. In their recent performances, both players have demonstrated strong form, with Moutet winning all his last three matches convincingly, while Griekspoor has also maintained an unbeaten streak in his recent fixtures.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor's higher ranking, better form index, and lower fatigue levels provide him with a crucial edge as he prepares for the final. However, Moutet's superior return index could play a significant role in the match dynamics. A key factor to observe will be how well Moutet can capitalize on Griekspoor's return game, which could influence the overall outcome.