Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Auger-Aliassime arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 8) with a stronger form index (70.35) and a markedly higher Elo (4062.00) compared with Griekspoor (rank 29, form 51.60, Elo 1321.25). Fatigue levels are comparable from this tournament — Griekspoor 193 minutes vs Auger-Aliassime 182 minutes — so recent court time is unlikely to be a decisive disparity. On hard courts, Auger-Aliassime also shows a clear edge in surface strength (28.84 vs Griekspoor’s 7.56). Serving and returning profiles accentuate the gap: Auger-Aliassime’s mean serve index (98.46) is about 8.4 points higher than Griekspoor’s (90.10), and his mean return index (87.57) dwarfs Griekspoor’s (45.58) — both differences exceed 5 points and will matter on this medium-paced hard surface. Griekspoor’s serve remains a strength, but Auger-Aliassime’s combination of elite serving and top-tier returning suggests he can pressure Griekspoor’s service games while holding his own. Form-wise, Griekspoor has two wins and one loss in his last three matches, including straight-set wins in Rotterdam against Halys and Mpetshi Perricard. Auger-Aliassime is on a three-match winning streak, all straight sets in the last two tournaments, offering a cleaner recent run into the quarterfinal.