Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Tallon Griekspoor vs Taro Daniel Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #31
57%
VS

Taro Daniel

Rank: #168
43%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Ranking Trends

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current Rank: #31 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #35 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #40 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-09-16)

Taro Daniel

  • Current Rank: #168 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #151 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #119 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #84 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #90 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 9.4
ELO Rating: 1192.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1678.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.6
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 85.0

Taro Daniel

Form Index: 54.7
ELO Rating: 356.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 287.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Tallon Griekspoor
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (1-2) hard Winston Salem 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Cincinnati 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) hard Toronto 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) clay Bastad 160 min

Taro Daniel
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Chengdu 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Chengdu 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-0) hard Chengdu 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tallon Griekspoor
vs
0
Taro Daniel
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Chengdu tournament in China, Tallon Griekspoor is set to face Taro Daniel on hard courts. The prediction favors Griekspoor with a 57.15% probability of victory, while Daniel stands at 42.85%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Tallon Griekspoor, currently ranked 31, exhibits a solid form index of 9.37, indicating a recent uptick in performance despite some tough matches. His Elo rating stands at 1192, showcasing his competitive standing. Notably, Griekspoor has a significant advantage in surface strength with an index of 12.57, compared to Daniel's 4.02, suggesting he is better suited for hard courts. The cumulative fatigue for Griekspoor is at 0, while Daniel has accumulated 287 minutes of court time in the current tournament, potentially affecting his stamina. Moreover, Griekspoor's mean serve index of 97.87 surpasses Daniel’s 95.56 by over 2 points, and his mean return index is slightly lower, but close (85.03 vs. 86.27), indicating a competitive edge on serve. In their recent performances, Griekspoor has faced difficulties, losing all his last three matches, including a defeat at the US Open against Adrian Mannarino. Conversely, Taro Daniel has found success, winning all three of his recent matches in Chengdu without dropping a set, indicating a better rhythm and momentum heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Griekspoor's rank and surface strengths suggest he has the tools to succeed, but his recent form raises questions. Daniel's winning streak in the current tournament offers him a psychological edge. The key factor to monitor will be Griekspoor's serve, as his ability to control the match through powerful serves could dictate the outcome.