Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Taylor Fritz vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
71%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #103
29%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #4 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #4 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #4 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #6 2024-10-28

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #103 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #99 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #83 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #66 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #69 2024-10-28

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 46.8
ELO Rating: 3736.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1818.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 85.6

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 46.2
ELO Rating: 777.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 232.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.1
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Aleksandar Vukic
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Terence Atmane (2-1) hard Paris 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-1) hard Paris 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) hard Vienna 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) hard Almaty 59 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marko Topo (2-1) hard Almaty 124 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Taylor Fritz is set to face Aleksandar Vukic on hard courts. With a strong prediction favoring Fritz, he holds a 70.90% probability of winning, while Vukic has a 29.10% chance. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 4th, boasts a solid form index of 46.78 and an impressive Elo rating of 3736.65. His fatigue level is negligible at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is well-rested. Fritz also possesses a surface strength index of 29.21, highlighting his effectiveness on hard courts. His mean serve index of 98.28 significantly surpasses Vukic's 96.13, showing a stronger serving capability, while their mean return indices are closely matched, with Fritz at 85.62 and Vukic at 86.17. Conversely, Aleksandar Vukic, ranked 103rd, has a form index of 46.18 and an Elo rating of 777.20, which suggests he has been performing at a lower level than Fritz. His cumulative fatigue of 232.0 minutes indicates he has played more court time recently, which could affect his performance. In his last three matches, Vukic has shown resilience, winning two out of three, but his most recent victory came against lower-ranked opponents, while Fritz lost two of his last three matches, although he faced tougher competition.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's higher ranking, superior serve strength, and minimal fatigue give him a clear advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Fritz's serve effectiveness, as maintaining pressure on Vukic's return game could dictate the outcome of the match.

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