Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 16

Taylor Fritz vs Jordan Thompson Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #5
69%
VS

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #44
31%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #5 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #4 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #7 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #12 2024-07-01

Jordan Thompson

  • Current #44 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #35 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #26 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #28 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #40 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 86.5
ELO Rating: 4317.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1805.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 86.2

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 74.2
ELO Rating: 1450.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Jordan Thompson
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-1) grass London 47 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 128 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Taylor Fritz
vs
1
Jordan Thompson
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at Wimbledon 2025, Taylor Fritz faces Jordan Thompson on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted winner of Taylor Fritz, he has a win probability of 68.94% compared to Thompson's 31.06%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 36.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 5th, boasts a robust form index of 86.47 and an impressive Elo rating of 4317.77. He has a significant advantage on grass, reflected in his surface strength index of 44.73. Both players share a cumulative fatigue of 522 minutes, but Fritz's mean serve index of 98.69 surpasses Thompson's 96.21 by over 2 points, while their mean return indices are quite close, with Fritz at 86.18 and Thompson at 86.94. This slight edge in serving strength may play a critical role on grass, where serve-and-volley tactics are often more effective. In their recent performances, both Fritz and Thompson have emerged victorious in their last three matches at Wimbledon, winning each of them in straight sets. Fritz's matches have seen him consistently clinch three sets against his opponents, demonstrating his strong form on this surface. Thompson has also performed admirably, winning three consecutive matches, but he has faced slightly tougher challenges, dropping sets in two of those encounters.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's higher ranking, superior form, and serve strength position him as the favorite in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be his ability to leverage his serve effectively against Thompson, potentially dictating the pace of the match and minimizing Thompson's chances to break.

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