Terence Atmane vs Rafael Jodar: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

On paper Atmane presents the higher ranking (No. 63) and a substantially higher Elo (813.65) than Jodar (rank 114, Elo 594.15), factors that drive the predicted edge. However, Jodar shows a markedly stronger short-term form index (60.45) compared with Atmane (36.15), and Atmane arrives with greater accumulated fatigue in the event (82.0 minutes versus Jodar’s 55.0). Both players register modest surface strength indices on hard courts (Atmane 4.63, Jodar 5.43), indicating neither has a pronounced historical advantage on this surface. Serve and return profiles diverge: Jodar’s mean serve index (95.06) is significantly higher than Atmane’s (81.78), a difference greater than 5 points, and his mean return index (90.86) also substantially exceeds Atmane’s (68.47). Those gaps suggest Jodar can both hold serve more comfortably and create more break chances. Recent results are mixed: Atmane’s last three matches include wins over Grigor Dimitrov and Patrick Kypson and a loss to Flavio Cobolli; Jodar has wins over Cameron Norrie and Ethan Quinn and a loss to Taylor Fritz. Match durations show Jodar’s most recent Acapulco victory was quick (55 minutes), while Atmane’s recent matches have tended to be longer.