Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Rank: #450
28%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #46
72%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Player Metrics

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Form Index: 62.1
ELO Rating: 100.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.0
Clay: 0.0
Grass: 0.0
Serve Rating: 1.2
Return Rating: 64.2

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 66.4
ELO Rating: 1195.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 38.1
Clay: 29.4
Grass: 28.2
Serve Rating: 63.0
Return Rating: 34.3

Recent Matches

Thanasi Kokkinakis

  • Last Match: vs Jack Draper (2-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) hard Adelaide 182 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-1) hard Adelaide 130 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Sebastian Korda

  • Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) hard Brisbane 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (1-1) hard Brisbane 46 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (2-0) hard Brisbane 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-2) hard Paris 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Paris 138 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Thanasi Kokkinakis
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Sebastian Korda takes place at the ATP 250 tournament in Adelaide, Australia, on a hard surface during the round of 32. Korda is favored to win with a probability of 72.36%, compared to Kokkinakis' 27.64%. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Thanasi Kokkinakis currently holds a world ranking of 450, reflecting challenges in his recent performance, as indicated by a form index of 62.06. His Elo rating is notably low at 100.0, suggesting he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents. Kokkinakis has shown some resilience by winning two out of his last three matches, but his surface strength index is at 0.0, indicating a lack of significant success on hard courts. His mean serve index of 1.15 is markedly lower than Korda's, which could be a crucial disadvantage, especially since Korda possesses a stronger overall game. On the other hand, Sebastian Korda, ranked 46th in the world, presents a much more formidable challenge. His form index of 66.36 and Elo rating of 1195.21 highlight his consistent performance level. Korda has demonstrated a decent competitive edge, winning two of his last three matches, although his last outing resulted in a loss. His mean serve index of 62.99 offers a significant advantage over Kokkinakis, particularly on hard courts, while his mean return index, although lower than Kokkinakis' at 34.25, still provides him with a reliable baseline game.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda's higher ranking, superior form, and significantly better serve index give him a clear edge over Thanasi Kokkinakis in this matchup. The ability to maintain his serve will be a key factor to watch during the game, as Kokkinakis will need to find a way to capitalize on any weaknesses in Korda's game to have a chance at victory.