Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Arthur Fils is driven mainly by recent record by level, overall strength, and surface fit. Recent record by level contributes the most toward Fils, and that aligns with his higher Elo of 1948.66 versus Tirante’s 1859.65 and his superior ranking at 21 versus 50. Overall strength and overall record and opposition quality also tilt to Fils, reflecting steadier results against stronger opponents in this event. Tirante does push back through recent form, which is the only key factor favoring him, and his form index sits notably higher at 79.83 compared with Fils at 62.72. That recent form is visible in three straight wins in Cincinnati, including long matches (164, 136, 134 minutes). Those marathon wins explain Tirante’s elevated fatigue at 610 minutes on court, versus Fils’ 299 minutes. Surface strength favors Fils as well, with a surface strength index of 46.69 for Fils versus 36.05 for Tirante, suggesting Fils is a better fit to hard courts here. Mean serve and mean return indices are close between the two players, so serve and return profiles do not create a major differential on paper. Both players arrive having won their last three matches at this tournament. Fils has been efficient, with an 82 minute win over Alex de Minaur and a 121 minute match against Jiri Lehecka. Tirante’s trio of wins have been longer affairs, which contributes to the fatigue gap noted above.