Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Tomas Machac vs James Duckworth Prediction

Tomas Machac

Rank: #35
59%
VS

James Duckworth

Rank: #86
41%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

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Ranking Trends

Tomas Machac

  • Current #35 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #30 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #22 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #20 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #25 2025-01-13

James Duckworth

  • Current #86 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #138 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #113 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #92 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #89 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 14.1
ELO Rating: 1359.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 36.0
Clay: 28.0
Grass: 30.3
Serve Rating: 0.0
Return Rating: 37.7

James Duckworth

Form Index: 73.4
ELO Rating: 728.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.4
Clay: 15.5
Grass: 17.5
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 93.8

Recent Matches

Tomas Machac
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

James Duckworth
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Machac
vs
0
James Duckworth
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Adelaide tournament, Tomas Machac faces James Duckworth on hard courts. The predicted winner is Tomas Machac, with a probability of 58.74% to win the match, while James Duckworth has a 41.26% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is approximately 22.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 35, has a form index of 14.07 and an Elo rating of 1359.28. His surface strength index stands at 35.99, indicating a moderate performance on hard courts, while his return index is 37.73, suggesting he can handle opponents' serves reasonably well. Notably, Machac has yet to show significant fatigue in this tournament, which may play a role in maintaining his performance. On the other hand, James Duckworth, ranked 86, has a higher form index of 73.44 and a much lower Elo rating of 728.83. His mean serve index is impressive at 98.35, which gives him a notable advantage in serving power over Machac. Additionally, Duckworth's return index of 93.77 indicates a strong capability in returning serves. Despite this, Duckworth's recent performances have been mixed, winning one match and losing two, while Machac has struggled, failing to secure a win in his last three outings.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac is favored to win due to his slightly higher ranking and a better recent performance trend. However, Duckworth’s serving power could significantly impact the match, making his ability to dominate on serve a critical factor to watch.

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