Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky Hijikata Prediction

Tristan Schoolkate

Rank: #97
34%
VS

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #111
66%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Rinky Hijikata

Player Metrics

Tristan Schoolkate

Form Index: 17.0
ELO Rating: 627.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1531.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.6
Clay: 12.3
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 66.2
Return Rating: 76.1

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 62.8
ELO Rating: 587.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.2
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 13.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 95.0

Recent Matches

Tristan Schoolkate

  • Last Match: vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Brisbane 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Dan Added (1-2) hard Metz 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) hard Vienna 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lukas Klein (2-0) hard Vienna 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Almaty 145 min

Rinky Hijikata

  • Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (1-2) hard Brisbane 133 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Brisbane 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-0) hard Brisbane 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) hard Almaty 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Timofey Skatov (2-1) hard Almaty 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tristan Schoolkate
vs
0
Rinky Hijikata
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Adelaide ATP 250 tournament in Australia, Tristan Schoolkate faces Rinky Hijikata on a hard surface. The prediction favors Rinky Hijikata with a winning probability of 65.85%, while Tristan Schoolkate holds a probability of 34.15%. The expected total number of games played in this match is projected to be 24.

Match Analysis

Tristan Schoolkate is currently ranked 97 with a form index of 17.03 and an Elo rating of 627.42. He has shown signs of fatigue with a surface strength index of 12.64. His mean serve index stands at 66.21, while his mean return index is 76.08. In contrast, Rinky Hijikata is ranked 111 but boasts a significantly better form index of 62.82 and a lower Elo rating of 587.91. Hijikata's surface strength index is notably higher at 21.21, and his mean serve index is impressive at 97.85, indicating a powerful serve. Furthermore, his mean return index of 95.01 highlights his strong returning ability. The difference in their mean serve index is over 30 points, which indicates that Hijikata's serving capabilities may prove crucial in this matchup. Examining recent performances, Tristan Schoolkate has encountered difficulties, losing all three of his last matches, including two straight-set defeats. His lack of momentum may hinder his performance against Hijikata. On the other hand, Rinky Hijikata has enjoyed a more favorable run, winning two of his last three matches, including a decisive victory against Adam Walton. This recent success, coupled with his high form index, places Hijikata in a more advantageous position heading into this contest.

Final Prediction

Rinky Hijikata's edge comes from his superior serving and returning statistics, alongside a more favorable recent performance trajectory. A key factor to observe during the match will be how effectively Schoolkate can handle Hijikata's powerful serve, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the encounter.