Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #36
62%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #106
38%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 74.4
ELO Rating: 1375.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1775.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 170
Surface Strength:
Hard: 44.9
Clay: 26.9
Grass: 29.4
Serve Rating: 46.9
Return Rating: 39.9

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 72.4
ELO Rating: 678.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 400
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.8
Clay: 17.8
Grass: 14.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 95.8

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Adelaide 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Adelaide 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) hard Brisbane 155 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Basel 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) hard Basel 82 min

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) hard Adelaide 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) hard Adelaide 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-0) hard Adelaide 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) hard Adelaide 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brisbane 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
0
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Adelaide, Australia promises an exciting clash on hard courts between Ugo Humbert and Alexander Shevchenko. With Humbert holding a 61.89% chance of victory against Shevchenko's 38.11%, the predicted total number of games for this encounter is set at 23.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert currently ranks 36th and boasts a form index of 74.35, indicating strong recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 1375, reflecting his competitive stature. Humbert shows a cumulative fatigue of 170 minutes, suggesting a relatively fresh state entering this match. His surface strength index is 44.93, with a mean serve index of 46.85 and a mean return index of 39.90. In contrast, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 106th, has a form index of 72.44 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 678.81. Shevchenko's fatigue is considerably higher at 400 minutes, which could impact his mobility and performance. His surface strength index is 22.80, but he excels with a mean serve index of 97.52 and a return index of 95.78, highlighting his aggressive play style. In their last three matches, Humbert has demonstrated solid form, winning all his encounters in Adelaide without dropping a set. His most recent victory came against Tallon Griekspoor, where he won decisively. Conversely, Shevchenko has also shown resilience, winning his last three matches, including a tough battle against Damir Dzumhur. However, the cumulative fatigue and lower surface strength may hinder his performance against Humbert.

Final Prediction

Humbert's superior ranking, lower fatigue, and more consistent performances give him a clear advantage in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Shevchenko's serve; if he can leverage his powerful serve effectively, he may disrupt Humbert's rhythm and create opportunities.