Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #113
31%
VS

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #26
69%
Expected Total Games: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

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Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current #113 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #116 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #197 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #182 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #204 2024-07-01

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current #26 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #8 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #11 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #12 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #11 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 73.5
ELO Rating: 393.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.2

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 36.0
ELO Rating: 2280.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1867.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 23.4
Grass: 24.2
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 84.7

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Stefanos Tsitsipas
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Valentin Royer and Stefanos Tsitsipas marks an intriguing Round of 128 clash on grass. Given the players' current forms and rankings, Tsitsipas is favored to win with a probability of 69.49%, while Royer has a 30.51% chance of pulling off an upset. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 39.

Match Analysis

Stefanos Tsitsipas, currently ranked 26, comes into this match with a form index of 35.95 and an Elo rating of 2280.08. In contrast, Valentin Royer, ranked 113, holds a higher form index of 73.48, indicating better recent performance despite his lower ranking. Fatigue may play a crucial role, as Royer has accumulated 522 minutes on court during the tournament, while Tsitsipas starts with zero cumulative fatigue. On the surface strength index, Tsitsipas also showcases an advantage with 24.20 compared to Royer's 3.18, reflecting his superior adaptation to grass. In their recent performances, Royer has been in excellent form, winning all three of his matches at Wimbledon, including a solid 3-0 win over Titouan Droguet in his last outing. Conversely, Tsitsipas has struggled recently, losing two out of his last three matches, including a defeat at the Halle tournament, which may impact his confidence heading into this match. This contrast in recent results adds an interesting dynamic to their encounter.

Final Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas holds the edge due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue level, and superior surface strength, despite recent challenges. A key factor to observe in this match will be the effectiveness of Royer's serve, as his mean serve index is very close to Tsitsipas’s, which could play a pivotal role in determining the match's outcome.

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