Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struff: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #101
52%
VS

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #82
48%
Expected Total Games: 37.9
Predicted Winner: Vit Kopriva

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Ranking Trends

Vit Kopriva

  • Current #101 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #94 2025-10-20
  • 6 mo ago #79 2025-07-21
  • 9 mo ago #95 2025-04-21
  • 12 mo ago #126 2025-01-13

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Current #82 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #91 2025-10-20
  • 6 mo ago #152 2025-07-21
  • 9 mo ago #79 2025-04-21
  • 12 mo ago #43 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 23.9
ELO Rating: 623.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.3
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 54.0
Return Rating: 89.8

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 48.9
ELO Rating: 686.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1620.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 7.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 93.4

Recent Matches

Vit Kopriva
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Jan-Lennard Struff
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (1-2) hard Auckland 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Anton Shepp (2-0) hard Auckland 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Hong Kong 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Hong Kong 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Zsombor Piros (2-0) hard Hong Kong 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vit Kopriva
vs
0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2026 Australian Open, Vit Kopriva is set to face Jan-Lennard Struff on hard courts in Australia. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Kopriva slightly favored to win at a probability of 52.09%, compared to Struff's 47.91%. Analysts predict a total of approximately 37.89 games throughout the match.

Match Analysis

Vit Kopriva, ranked 101, has a form index of 23.89 and an Elo rating of 623.80, indicating a challenging recent performance. His surface strength index stands at 2.28, suggesting he may struggle on hard courts compared to his opponent. Jan-Lennard Struff, ranked 82, possesses a significantly higher form index of 48.86 and an Elo rating of 686.73, reflecting a more consistent level of play. Struff's surface strength index of 8.84 further enhances his capability on hard surfaces. Notably, Struff's mean serve index of 97.23 is considerably higher than Kopriva's 54.04, indicating a distinct advantage in serving power. In their recent performances, Kopriva has faced difficulties, losing two of his last three matches, with his only victory coming against Pablo Carreno Busta. Struff has similarly struggled but managed to secure a win against Anton Shepp, although he has also lost two of his last three encounters. Both players will be looking to build momentum in this pivotal match.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.9 Most likely outcome: 37 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Vit Kopriva - Jan-Lennard Struff) +3.0 Most likely spread: +2 (Vit Kopriva wins 2 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to feature around 14.73 aces, reflecting the capabilities of both players on hard courts. Given Struff's superior mean serve index, he may contribute a significant portion of these aces. The anticipated double faults, around 5.48, could play a crucial role in determining the match's outcome, especially if either player struggles to maintain their service consistency under pressure.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 14.7 Most likely: 14 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 5.5 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Vit Kopriva's slight edge in the prediction stems from his strong return index of 89.76, suggesting he could capitalize on Struff's serving opportunities. However, Struff's powerful serve and recent form may prove decisive, making his service game a key factor to observe during the match.

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