Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Berrettini: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Kopriva (rank 97) arrives with a lower form index (37.85) and an Elo of 664.72, carrying 147 minutes of court time this week and a surface strength index of 5.52. Berrettini (rank 58) shows stronger form (57.45), a substantially higher Elo (945.62) and slightly less cumulative fatigue (134 minutes); his surface strength index is 9.51. The mean serve indices differ markedly: Berrettini 99.55 vs Kopriva 62.39 — a gap well over 5 points that favors Berrettini’s serve. Their mean return indices also differ by more than 5 points (Berrettini 88.98, Kopriva 83.34), indicating both can return, but Berrettini rates higher on both metrics overall. Recent results reflect that contrast. Kopriva has two wins in his last three, including a long three-set clay win in Buenos Aires and a five-set hard-court win earlier, plus a straight-sets loss to a top opponent; his recent matches have been lengthy, contributing to fatigue. Berrettini’s last three include a straight-sets clay victory in Buenos Aires, a hard-court loss in a best-of-three, and a comfortable hard-court win; his performances show more consistent serve-dominant outcomes. Taken together, Berrettini’s superior serve and higher Elo make him the cleaner favorite, while Kopriva’s return ability is his primary weapon.