Aryna Sabalenka
WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
393-137 74.2% in 530 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 51 | 43-8 | 2549 | 2564 | 2033 |
| 2025 | 70 | 59-11 | 2466 | 2485 | 2161 |
| 2024 | 66 | 54-12 | 2405 | 2413 | 2283 |
| 2023 | 65 | 53-12 | 1892 | 2191 | 2044 |
| 2022 | 49 | 30-19 | 2138 | 2067 | 1916 |
| 2021 | 55 | 41-14 | 1922 | 2141 | 1990 |
| 2020 | 37 | 28-9 | 1794 | 1959 | 1959 |
| 2019 | 50 | 30-20 | 1836 | 1908 | 1860 |
| 2018 | 63 | 42-21 | 1583 | 2071 | 1967 |
| 2017 | 24 | 13-11 | 1539 | 1630 | 1619 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Us Open · Hard | Kamilla Rakhimova | W 2-0 |
| Polina Iatcenko | W 2-0 | ||
| Camila Osorio | W 2-0 | ||
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cincinnati · Hard | Sara Bejlek | L 0-2 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 2-0 | ||
| Talia Gibson | W 2-0 | ||
| Aug 02, 2026 | Montreal · Hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 1-2 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 2-0 | ||
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 2-0 | ||
| Jun 29, 2026 | Wimbledon · Grass | Naomi Osaka | L 0-2 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Aryna Sabalenka?
Comparison covers 65 of the 70 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Aryna Sabalenka follow the script?
On serve · 2026| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 51 | 43-8 | 84.3% | 8 vs 6.4 exp | On serve |
| 2025 bt | 70 | 59-11 | 82.9% | 12 vs 16.1 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 66 | 54-12 | 80.3% | 13 vs 14.5 exp | On serve |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Aryna Sabalenka's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/aryna-sabalenka">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)