Jessica Pegula

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 2073 · #3 Hard #4 Clay #19 Grass #6 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

291-115 71.7% in 406 matches

Clay 53-28
Grass 28-14
Hard 210-73

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 59 48-11 2058 2184 2073
2025 70 51-19 1967 2061 2020
2024 46 35-11 2118 2183 2010
2023 61 46-15 1969 2053 1959
2022 58 41-17 1765 2064 2064
2021 56 38-18 1610 1947 1900
2020 18 12-6 1574 1794 1740
2019 28 14-14 1553 1675 1550
2018 9 6-3 1500 1589 1570
2017 1 0-1 1534 1516 1516

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Leylah Fernandez W 2-1
Sofia Kenin W 2-0
Elena-Gabriela Ruse W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Coco Gauff L 0-2
Iga Swiatek W 2-1
Amanda Anisimova W 2-1
Sorana Cirstea W 2-1
Emma Navarro W 2-0
Simona Waltert W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Diana Shnaider L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Jessica Pegula?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.6 actual vs 2.7 projected
1.80 our average miss per match
1.93 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+7% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 65 of the 70 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Jessica Pegula follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 59 48-11 79.7% 12 vs 15.9 exp On serve
2025 bt 70 51-19 74.3% 18 vs 23.2 exp On serve
2024 bt 46 35-11 73.9% 12 vs 14.3 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Jessica Pegula's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/jessica-pegula">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)