Elena Rybakina

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 2013 · #7 Hard #3 Clay #7 Grass #10 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

305-121 71.6% in 426 matches

Clay 71-28
Grass 36-14
Hard 198-79

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 57 44-13 2085 2320 2013
2025 66 48-18 1982 2057 2057
2024 50 41-9 2137 2198 1988
2023 56 43-13 1686 2149 1975
2022 56 37-19 1786 2073 1864
2021 44 25-19 1770 1892 1809
2020 39 29-10 1640 1920 1770
2019 39 27-12 1532 1748 1728
2018 15 8-7 1508 1627 1544
2017 4 3-1 1500 1559 1544

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Jessica Bouzas Maneiro W 2-0
Thea Frodin W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Iga Swiatek L 0-0
Diana Shnaider W 2-0
Magdalena Frech W 2-0
Taylor Townsend W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Iga Swiatek L 0-2
Coco Gauff W 2-1
Naomi Osaka W 2-1
Liudmila Samsonova W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Elena Rybakina?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.9 actual vs 5.6 projected
2.74 our average miss per match
3.38 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+19% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 61 of the 66 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Elena Rybakina follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 57 44-13 75.4% 14 vs 15.1 exp On serve
2025 bt 66 48-18 77.3% 15 vs 18.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 50 41-9 82.0% 9 vs 11.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Elena Rybakina's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/elena-rybakina">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)