Elise Mertens

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1810 · #26 Hard #29 Clay #42 Grass #12 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

309-194 61.4% in 503 matches

Clay 72-43
Grass 32-24
Hard 205-127

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 43 26-17 1697 1870 1810
2025 56 36-20 1652 1927 1750
2024 50 26-24 1651 1794 1705
2023 49 29-20 1648 1820 1763
2022 45 25-20 1757 1815 1725
2021 49 32-17 1765 1957 1770
2020 45 32-13 1729 1948 1864
2019 54 32-22 1816 1933 1844
2018 59 41-18 1648 1923 1763
2017 53 30-23 1548 1726 1703

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Naomi Osaka L 1-2
Maria Timofeeva W 2-0
Kaitlin Quevedo W 2-0
Aug 23, 2026 Monterrey · Hard Diane Parry L 1-2
Nikola Bartunkova W 2-1
Yuliia Starodubtseva W 2-0
Panna Udvardy W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Diane Parry L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Naomi Osaka L 0-2
Anna Bondar W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Elise Mertens?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.7 actual vs 3.8 projected
1.93 our average miss per match
2.15 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+10% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 51 of the 56 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Elise Mertens follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 43 26-17 72.1% 12 vs 13.6 exp On serve
2025 bt 56 36-20 75.0% 14 vs 19.1 exp On serve
2024 bt 50 26-24 66.0% 17 vs 17.5 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Elise Mertens's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/elise-mertens">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)