Elise Mertens

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1830 · #25 Hard #30 Clay #42 Grass #12 Last match: Oct 19, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

313-198 61.3% in 511 matches

Clay 72-43
Grass 32-24
Hard 209-131

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 51 30-21 1697 1928 1830
2025 56 36-20 1652 1927 1750
2024 50 26-24 1651 1794 1705
2023 49 29-20 1648 1820 1763
2022 45 25-20 1757 1815 1725
2021 49 32-17 1765 1957 1770
2020 45 32-13 1729 1948 1864
2019 54 32-22 1816 1933 1844
2018 59 41-18 1648 1923 1763
2017 53 30-23 1548 1726 1703

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 19, 2026 Ningbo · Hard Leylah Fernandez L 1-2
Oct 12, 2026 Wuhan · Hard Daria Snigur L 0-2
Sep 30, 2026 Beijing · Hard Qinwen Zheng L 0-2
Iga Swiatek W 2-0
Coco Gauff W 2-0
Jelena Ostapenko W 2-1
Katie Volynets W 2-1
Sep 21, 2026 Singapore · Hard Maja Chwalinska L 0-2
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Naomi Osaka L 1-2
Maria Timofeeva W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Elise Mertens?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.7 actual vs 3.8 projected
1.93 our average miss per match
2.15 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+10% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 51 of the 56 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Elise Mertens follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 51 30-21 64.7% 18 vs 16.3 exp On serve
2025 bt 56 36-20 75.0% 14 vs 19.1 exp On serve
2024 bt 50 26-24 66.0% 17 vs 17.5 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Elise Mertens's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/elise-mertens">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)