Qinwen Zheng

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 2028 · #3 Hard #3 Clay #16 Grass #73 Last match: Sep 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

148-81 64.6% in 229 matches

Clay 42-20
Grass 7-12
Hard 99-49

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 36 22-14 1673 2028 2028
2025 32 20-12 2032 2037 1873
2024 54 39-15 1777 2040 2040
2023 51 34-17 1653 1915 1915
2022 41 25-16 1560 1864 1824
2021 11 7-4 1522 1595 1579
2019 4 1-3 1500 1481 1464

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Sep 30, 2026 Beijing · Hard Mirra Andreeva W 2-0
Elise Mertens W 2-0
Elina Svitolina W 2-0
Alina Charaeva W 2-1
Marie Bouzkova W 2-1
Anna Kalinskaya W 1-1
Han Shi W 2-1
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Elena Rybakina L 1-2
Iga Swiatek W 2-0
Madison Keys W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Qinwen Zheng?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.0 actual vs 6.0 projected
2.73 our average miss per match
2.31 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-18% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 27 of the 32 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Qinwen Zheng follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 35 22-13 57.1% 15 vs 11.4 exp On serve
2025 bt 32 20-12 71.9% 9 vs 8.5 exp On serve
2024 bt 54 39-15 83.3% 9 vs 16.0 exp Straight sets

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Qinwen Zheng's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/qinwen-zheng">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)