Shuai Zhang

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1578 · #111 Hard #94 Clay #144 Grass #89 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

174-197 46.9% in 371 matches

Clay 31-50
Grass 24-23
Hard 119-124

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 45 20-25 1584 1676 1578
2025 25 14-11 1534 1734 1709
2024 18 5-13 1531 1647 1602
2023 22 4-18 1660 1722 1428
2022 61 35-26 1610 1859 1762
2021 41 17-24 1669 1668 1546
2020 25 14-11 1636 1733 1687
2019 41 17-24 1619 1753 1632
2018 52 27-25 1654 1765 1737
2017 41 21-20 1686 1753 1718

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Leylah Fernandez L 0-2
Aug 23, 2026 Monterrey · Hard Maria Timofeeva L 0-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Ann Li L 0-2
Kayla Day W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Aryna Sabalenka L 0-2
Jelena Ostapenko W
Yulia Putintseva W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Washington Dc · Hard Gabriela Knutson L 1-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Karolina Muchova L 0-2
Bianca Andreescu W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Shuai Zhang?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.2 actual vs 2.1 projected
1.94 our average miss per match
2.38 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+19% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 13 of the 18 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Shuai Zhang follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 30 11-19 60.0% 12 vs 9.9 exp On serve
2025 bt 18 10-8 61.1% 7 vs 5.7 exp On serve
2024 bt 17 5-12 70.6% 5 vs 4.2 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Shuai Zhang's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/shuai-zhang">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)