2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
March 01, 2026
Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.7% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 28.3% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.5%
Under: 44.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 01, 2026
Hertha vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Hertha)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 33.0% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 01, 2026
Braunschweig vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.2% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.9% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.6% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 44.8% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Bielefeld vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.2% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.0%
No Goal: 42.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.7% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 42.5% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.1%
Under: 45.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.1%
No Goal: 42.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.4% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 48.5% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 27, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.0% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.8% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 27, 2026
Dresden vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.7% (Dresden)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 43.0% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.9%
No Goal: 44.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 22, 2026
Preußen Münster vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.5% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.4% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 22, 2026
Paderborn vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.3% (Paderborn)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 24.9% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.4%
Under: 44.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.2%
No Goal: 41.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 22, 2026
Hannover vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.1% (Hannover)
Draw: 20.5%
Away Win: 14.5% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.8%
Under: 44.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 35.2% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Schalke 04 vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.5% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 25.9% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.1%
No Goal: 43.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 8
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Elversberg vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.5% (Elversberg)
Draw: 23.8%
Away Win: 17.7% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.9%
Under: 44.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Darmstadt vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.4% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 26.7%
Away Win: 19.9% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.2%
Under: 46.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 20, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.1% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 43.6% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 20, 2026
Bochum vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Bochum)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 29.2% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.8%
No Goal: 45.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 15, 2026
Bochum vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.4% (Bochum)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 37.0% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.4%
No Goal: 43.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 15, 2026
Magdeburg vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 32.0% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.8%
No Goal: 43.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 15, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.1% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 38.8% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 27.7% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 58.9%
Under: 41.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.5%
No Goal: 43.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Hertha vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (Hertha)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 34.7% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.9%
No Goal: 43.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Braunschweig vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.8% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 40.7% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.8%
No Goal: 45.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Dresden vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.5% (Dresden)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 43.5% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.1%
Under: 44.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.4%
No Goal: 40.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 13, 2026
Nurnberg vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.3% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 26.6% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.3%
Under: 42.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.7%
No Goal: 44.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 13, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.2% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 26.0% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 08, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.7% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 08, 2026
Hannover vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (Hannover)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 20.5% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.9%
Under: 47.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.9%
No Goal: 46.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 08, 2026
Bielefeld vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.7% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 21.6% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal