Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
November 04, 2025
Ipswich vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.7% (Ipswich)
Draw: 20.5%
Away Win: 11.8% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.9%
No Goal: 45.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 04, 2025
Bristol City vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (Bristol City)
Draw: 26.4%
Away Win: 20.5% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 04, 2025
Derby vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.2% (Derby)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 26.2% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 04, 2025
Charlton vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.1% (Charlton)
Draw: 32.0%
Away Win: 33.9% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 04, 2025
Leicester vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 27.7% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 04, 2025
Oxford vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.4% (Oxford)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.9% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 04, 2025
Coventry vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.3% (Coventry)
Draw: 20.1%
Away Win: 12.6% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.3%
No Goal: 46.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Oxford vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.4% (Oxford)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 34.1% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Leicester vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.2% (Leicester)
Draw: 18.9%
Away Win: 11.9% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.2%
Under: 46.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 01, 2025
Norwich vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (Norwich)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 30.1% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 01, 2025
West Brom vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.6% (West Brom)
Draw: 17.0%
Away Win: 9.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 01, 2025
Birmingham vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.0% (Birmingham)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 17.7% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 01, 2025
Charlton vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.3% (Charlton)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 30.5% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
QPR vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.6% (QPR)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 42.8% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Sheffield United vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.0% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 27.7%
Away Win: 24.3% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Southampton vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.5% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 25.0% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 01, 2025
Stoke vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (Stoke)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.1% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Watford vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.4% (Watford)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 38.4% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 31, 2025
Wrexham vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.5% (Wrexham)
Draw: 25.7%
Away Win: 50.8% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.0%
No Goal: 42.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Portsmouth vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.8% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 36.2% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Blackburn vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.8% (Blackburn)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 37.7% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Bristol City vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 30.6% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.8%
Under: 54.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Ipswich vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.2% (Ipswich)
Draw: 25.6%
Away Win: 19.2% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Coventry vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.1% (Coventry)
Draw: 19.9%
Away Win: 10.9% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Hull vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Hull)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 32.3% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.1% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 41.0% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Derby vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Derby)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Millwall vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.6% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 37.0% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.5% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 22.2% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Swansea vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.4% (Swansea)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 27.1% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal