Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv vs Paris Basketball Prediction · EuroLeague 2026-27 Regular Season · October 29, 2026
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
Paris Basketball
Why the Model Favors Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.
Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 66% for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →
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HOMEMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
AWAYParis Basketball
Starting Five Matchup
Key Prediction Insights
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv is favored at home, with a 66% chance to beat Paris Basketball. Both teams enter with 2-6 records, but the forecast gives Maccabi the advantage.
Total Points & Spread Analysis
The expected total is 182 points, pointing to a high-scoring game. Maccabi is projected to win by five, a narrow margin that leaves room for a close finish.
Full probability curves from our Poisson (total) and Negative-Binomial (spread) models: both the distribution (PDF) and the cumulative probability (CDF).
Total Points · expected 182.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(≤ X)
Spread (Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv − Paris Basketball) · expected +4.7
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(≤ X)
ELO Rating Trends
Both teams’ ELO ratings are falling over their last five games, with Maccabi down 30 points and Paris down 12.
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
Season-relative ELO (0 = league-average team; resets each season).
Paris Basketball
Season-relative ELO (0 = league-average team; resets each season).
EuroLeague ELO Power Rankings
See how every team stacks up: full ELO ratings, recent form and the season progression chart.
View Full ELO RatingsRecent Form: Last 5 Games
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 99 | 113 | -14 | |
| Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 78 | 100 | -22 |
Paris Basketball
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia Basket | 93 | 104 | -11 | |
| Dubai Basketball | 99 | 93 | +6 |
Game Analysis
Home court is the clearest separator in the forecast, backed by a smaller edge for Maccabi in rebounding and paint presence. Daniel Theis is projected for 8 points and 4 rebounds, while O’Shae J Brissett is projected for 10 points and 5 rebounds, giving Maccabi two useful frontcourt contributors.
Paris has a slight scoring and shooting advantage in the model. Tyson Etienne is projected for 13 points and 3.4 three-pointers, and Mouhamed Faye’s 5.5 projected rebounds could help Paris compete inside. Paris is coming off a win over Dubai after losses to Valencia and Crvena Zvezda. Maccabi has lost its two most recent games after beating Valencia.
Final Prediction
Paris’s perimeter shooting is the clearest route to changing the forecast: if Etienne and the outside shooters convert, they can counter Maccabi’s home and rebounding advantages. Otherwise, the hosts have the more balanced path to a win.
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