La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Madrid vs Oviedo Prediction

Ath Madrid

Home Team
98%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 12 16 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 36 15 21 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 26 11 15 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 25 11 14 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 20 14 6 21
6 Espanol 13 6 3 4 17 16 1 21
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 12 15 -3 17
8 Betis 13 5 2 6 12 17 -5 17
9 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 17 18 -1 16
10 Elche 13 3 7 3 15 16 -1 16
11 Sevilla 13 5 1 7 19 21 -2 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 16 18 -2 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 12 14 -2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 11 12 -1 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 12 21 -9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 10 16 -6 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 12 25 -13 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 7 20 -13 9

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)

Oviedo ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 4

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.83
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Oviedo heavily favors the home side, with a staggering 98.0% probability of an Ath Madrid victory. Meanwhile, Oviedo's chances of securing an upset stand at a mere 1.0%, with the same probability attributed to a draw. Ath Madrid, currently occupying 4th position in La Liga, are expected to triumph in a match likely to feature over 2.5 goals, while Oviedo languishes at the bottom of the standings in 20th place.

Match Analysis

Recent form strongly suggests that Ath Madrid is poised to continue their winning streak. In their last three outings, they have registered consecutive victories, showcasing their attacking prowess by netting a total of 7 goals and conceding just once. Their recent 3-0 triumph against Sevilla at home further highlights their defensive solidity, with four clean sheets in the past five matches. Ath Madrid's ability to consistently outperform their expected goals indicates a sharp attacking edge. On the other hand, Oviedo has struggled to find form. Their last three fixtures have seen them fail to score, resulting in two goalless draws and a narrow loss to Ath Bilbao. Oviedo's attacking inefficiency is underscored by their average of just 1.0 goal scored per game in their last five matches, coupled with a higher concession rate of 1.6 goals per game. Despite managing two clean sheets in recent matches, Oviedo's overall defensive frailty remains a concern, as reflected in their high expected goals conceded.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's superior form and robust defense provide them with a significant edge over the struggling Oviedo. The home side's efficient attack and ability to maintain clean sheets are pivotal factors that could dictate the outcome of this match. A key element to watch will be Ath Madrid's ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter.