La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Barcelona Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
1%
VS

Barcelona

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Leganes ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)

Barcelona ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 1

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.27
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Barcelona is the clear favorite heading into their clash with Leganes, boasting a 98.0% probability of securing a victory. The prediction suggests a match with over 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% chance of this outcome. As it stands, Barcelona leads La Liga from the top position, while Leganes is languishing near the bottom in 18th place, fighting against relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Barcelona has shown their prowess, securing two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They convincingly defeated Osasuna 3-0 and Girona 4-1, while securing a draw against Betis. Barcelona's average of 2.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches demonstrates their attacking might, bolstered by an expected goals metric of 2.158, suggesting they are consistently creating quality chances. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets in their last five games, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Leganes, on the other hand, has struggled, managing only a draw and suffering two losses in their past three games. They have shown some attacking capability, scoring twice in both losses but conceding three goals in each of those matches. Their average goals scored in the last five games stands at 1.4, but they concede slightly more at 1.6 per game, highlighting a leaky defense that could be exploited by a formidable Barcelona attack. Their expected goals conceded of 1.88 further underscores defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's superior form and offensive strength give them a significant edge over Leganes. Their ability to generate and capitalize on scoring opportunities consistently makes them a daunting opponent. Fans should keep an eye on Barcelona's attacking play, as it's likely to be the key factor in deciding the outcome of this match, with the potential for a high-scoring affair as evidenced by the predicted over 2.5 goals.