Osasuna
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #14 of 20 47.6 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #16 of 20 in La Liga 42 pts · 11W–9D–18L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Osasuna?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Osasuna's results were 1.4% easier to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Osasuna | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 53.1% | 51.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 34.4% | 58.6% |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% | 56.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #19 | 1482 | 1549 | 1412 |
| 2024-25 | La Liga | #7 | 1498 | 1545 | 1542 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #12 | 1533 | 1533 | 1455 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #8 | 1518 | 1557 | 1492 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #15 | 1498 | 1565 | 1440 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #10 | 1533 | 1533 | 1479 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #7 | 1529 | 1547 | 1533 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #1 | 1515 | 1714 | 1714 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #7 | 1498 | 1598 | 1545 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #19 | 1502 | 1502 | 1327 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Espanyol | W Osasuna 57.9% · draw 21.0% | L ✗ |
| May 12, 2026 | vs Atlético Madrid | L Osasuna 28.1% · draw 23.6% | L ✓ |
| May 08, 2026 | at Levante | W Osasuna 44.8% · draw 24.8% | L ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Barcelona | L Osasuna 25.0% · draw 21.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Sevilla | W Osasuna 69.0% · draw 16.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | at Athletic Bilbao | L Osasuna 19.8% · draw 20.0% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Real Betis | L Osasuna 36.4% · draw 26.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | at Alaves | L Osasuna 25.9% · draw 24.0% | D ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Girona | W Osasuna 44.7% · draw 26.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | at Real Sociedad | L Osasuna 29.4% · draw 25.2% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/osasuna">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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